Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/9/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 9, 2024

Updated Nov 10, 2024 3:18 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made an impressive 47.8% of his 3-point attempts this year, quite a bit more than his 29.9 rate last year.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 4.9 three attempts per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Raptors, creating a good matchup.
The Clippers are expected to see a spike in possessions today from facing the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Toronto Raptors).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers rank 3rd-best in in the NBA as the home team with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Derrick Jones Jr. will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to boost player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (88th percentile).
When it comes to shooting, the LA Clippers's subpar 108.7 points per game on their home court comes in as the 4th-fewest in the league this year.
The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA this year has been the LA Clippers.
Over the last 25 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.7 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Raptors, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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