Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

Sacramento Kings vs LA Clippers · Nov 8, 2024

Updated Nov 8, 2024 10:44 PM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 8.8 shots from the field per game this year, significantly more than his 6.7 rate last year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Derrick Jones Jr. ranks in the 79th percentile for 3-point efficiency with an exceptional 43.8% rate this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 52.6% on field goals (6th-best in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, designating this as a strong matchup.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers rank 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Clippers check in as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the LA Clippers.
The matchup against the Sacramento Kings may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.4 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).
Derrick Jones Jr. ought to experience a decrease in productivity in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this contest.

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