Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/2/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 2, 2024

Updated Nov 3, 2024 2:24 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Clippers.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 9th-best in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 4.9 free throws per game (7th-most in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, easily managing to get to the foul line.
Derrick Jones Jr. will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 45.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 7 games at home, 7.8% less than he's converted over the course of the season while at home.
In terms of shot attempts from the field, the 5th-least aggressive team in the league since the start of last season has been the Clippers.
Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have posted 11.0 points per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, marking this as a hard matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The 10th-most lethargic tempo offense in the league this year has been the Clippers.
Derrick Jones Jr. has converted 50.0% of his free throws over the last 7 games at home, 50.0% lower than he's made over the course of the season on his home court.

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