Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 10/31/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Phoenix Suns · Oct 31, 2024

Updated Nov 1, 2024 2:35 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The LA Clippers check in as the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league since the start of last season.
Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 1.2 free throws per game over the last 6 games when playing at home, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season at home.
The matchup against Phoenix may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 7.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Suns are the visiting team (2nd-most in the NBA).
Derrick Jones Jr. stands to get a boost in effectiveness in all stat categories due to possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 46.3% of his field goals over the last 6 games at home, 13.6% less than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year playing at home.
Derrick Jones Jr. has made 36.1% of his three-point shots over the last 6 games at home, 30.6% less than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year at home.
In regard to shots from the field, the 5th-least aggressive team in the league since the start of last season has been the Clippers.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 0.9 3-pointers per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Suns, branding this as a tough matchup.
The LA Clippers have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.

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