Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 10/27/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

Golden State Warriors vs LA Clippers · Oct 27, 2024

Updated Oct 28, 2024 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In regard to 3-point shots, the LA Clippers's impressive 38.1% rate of successful threes rates 3rd-strongest in the league since the start of last season.
The matchup against Golden State is a favorable one for shots from the field; when the Golden State Warriors have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have tallied the 2nd-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (15.8).

Favors Under

In terms of field goal attempts, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league as the away team since the start of last season has been the LA Clippers.
The 4th-least up-tempo pace road team in the league since the start of last season has been the LA Clippers.
Among all players in the league, Derrick Jones Jr. registers in the 20th percentile for foul-shot ability with a subpar 67.6% rate since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. Golden State is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 3.1 foul shots per game this year when the Warriors have the home court advantage (9th-least in the NBA).
Derrick Jones Jr. should see a decline in performance across the board on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

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