Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 6/17/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks · Jun 17, 2024

Updated Jun 18, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 8.6 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year on the road.
With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-most aggressive team in the league away from home this year has been the Mavericks.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8).
Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 32.2% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted and missed 4.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 higher than he's missed in all games this season while on the road.
Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 1.3 higher than he's tallied overall this year on the road.
The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should reduce possessions for the Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 6thworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with just 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.

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