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Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points
Player Prop - 6/12/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made 53.3% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 23.2% more than he's made from downtown overall this season.
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 7.1 more than he's averaged overall this year at home.
  • The Mavericks check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • The matchup against Boston is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Celtics are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.7).
  • Derrick Jones Jr. should see a spike in performance across the board due to holding the home court advantage in this contest.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games.
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 20 games away from their home city, which should reduce plays for the Dallas Mavericks.
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the league with just 10.0 offensive boards per game this year.
  • Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.5 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Celtics, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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