Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 6/9/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks · Jun 9, 2024

Updated Jun 10, 2024 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has converted 53.3% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 22.9% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.
When it comes to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 115.9 points per game measures as the 9th-most in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SFs have totaled the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).

Favors Under

The Mavericks have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games.
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Mavericks.
The Mavericks have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Among all players in the NBA, Derrick Jones Jr. lands in the 24th percentile for free-throw effectiveness without the home court advantage with a feeble 66.6% rate this year.
The matchup vs. Boston may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Boston Celtics are at home (4th-least in the NBA).

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