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Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points
Player Prop - 5/26/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

 
 
 
Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -127.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made 5.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's put through the net overall this year.
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 7.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
  • As it relates to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 116.2 points per game rates 9th-strongest in the NBA this year.
  • Derrick Jones Jr. ought to get a boost in output across the board in light of holding the home court advantage in this game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season.
  • The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a tough one for field goals; opposing starting SFs have shot for the 3rd-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (40.6%).
  • The 6th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks.
  • The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
  • The Mavericks check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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