Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 5/24/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks · May 24, 2024

Updated May 25, 2024 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has converted 53.5% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 5.4% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.7 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.5 more than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road.
This year, opposing starting SFs have shot 40.6% on shots from the field (3rd-weakest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, making this a challenging matchup.
The 7th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from competing against the most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Timberwolves).
Among all players in the NBA, Derrick Jones Jr. ranks in the 22nd percentile for free-throw proficiency on the road with an unimpressive 65.4% rate this year.

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