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Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points
Player Prop - 5/11/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

 
 
 
Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made 59.0% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 7.1% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season at home.
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has been on the court for 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 more than he's been on the court for overall this year.
  • The Mavericks check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
  • The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should boost plays for the Mavericks.
  • Derrick Jones Jr. will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally raises player production in all facets of the game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
  • The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a difficult one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SFs have shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (25.5%).
  • The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the league with only 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has made a mere 64.9% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit less than his 73.3 rate last year.

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