Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 5/9/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · May 9, 2024

Updated May 9, 2024 10:17 PM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.1 threes per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.2 mark last season.
Derrick Jones Jr. has been on the court for 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 4.2 foul shots per game (7th-most in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 2.0 higher than he's tallied overall this season on the road.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 25.5% on 3-pointers (2nd-worst in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, identifying this as a difficult matchup.
The 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.
Derrick Jones Jr. has made a mere 64.3% of his free throw attempts this season, a sizeable decrease from his 73.3 rate last season.
Derrick Jones Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to lower player production across the board.

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