Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 5/1/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks · May 1, 2024

Updated May 2, 2024 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 5.3 3-point attempts per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the LA Clippers, creating a good matchup.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's committed over the course of the season.
The Mavericks have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Clippers have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Mavericks.
Derrick Jones Jr. has converted a measly 65.5% of his foul shots this year, quite a bit less than his 73.3 rate last year.
As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Mavericks's subpar 20.7 foul shot attempts per game while playing on the road ranks 7th-worst in the league this year.

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