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Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/23/2024

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Compared to last year's 4.8 clip, Derrick Jones Jr.'s points per game have spiked this year to 8.5.
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.1 threes per game this year, a significant increase from his 1.2 rate last year.
  • Relative to last season's 13.7 rate, Derrick Jones Jr.'s playing time has risen this season to 23.4 minutes per game.
  • The Mavericks have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing on the road.
  • This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 5.3 3-point attempts per game (7th-highest in the league) against the LA Clippers, identifying this as a positive matchup.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's accumulated overall this season.
  • The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 0.5 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Clippers, struggling to get to the free-throw line.
  • Derrick Jones Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player performance across the board.

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