Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 21, 2024

Updated Apr 21, 2024 7:31 PM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+114/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 4.8 rate, Derrick Jones Jr.'s points per game have risen this season to 8.6.
Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged a terrific 23.4 minutes per game this season, a big improvement over his 13.7 minutes per game last season.
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 5.3 3-point attempts per game (7th-most in the league) against the LA Clippers, identifying this as a positive matchup.
The Mavericks have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year.
The Clippers have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's tallied overall this season.
Out of all players in the league, Derrick Jones Jr. registers in the 22nd percentile for free-throw prowess when playing on the road with a subpar 65.8% rate this year.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 0.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the LA Clippers are on their home court (2nd-least in the league).
Derrick Jones Jr. will likely suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

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