Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 9, 2024 11:18 PM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has totaled a whopping 8.7 points per game this season, a significant increase from his 4.8 points per game last season.
Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.1 three-pointers per game this year, significantly more than his 1.2 mark last year.
The Mavericks rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road.
The 4th-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks.
This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 4.5 free throws per game (most in the league) against the Hornets, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

The matchup against Charlotte is a challenging one; when the Hornets are on their home court, they have given up the 6th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs over the last 10 games (13.3).
The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a decline in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA away from their home court with a mere 7.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
Derrick Jones Jr. will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

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