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Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/7/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets

 
 
 
Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-127/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -127.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 57.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 7.0% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year on his home court.
  • The Mavericks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.
  • The matchup vs. Houston is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the Rockets are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.4).
  • The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
  • The Dallas Mavericks are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from facing the 7th-speediest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Houston Rockets).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 19.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 10.1% less than he's converted overall this year.
  • The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup vs. Houston may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Rockets are the visiting squad (2nd-least in the league).

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