Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 5, 2024

Updated Apr 6, 2024 12:37 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last season's 1.2 clip, Derrick Jones Jr.'s three-point attempts have increased this season to 3.1 per game.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 4th-best in in the league while playing at home with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.8 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home.
Derrick Jones Jr. will likely see an increase in production across the board considering holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has failed to make 3.3 field goal attempts per game this season, significantly more than his 1.7 mark last season.

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