Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 2, 2024

Updated Apr 3, 2024 12:52 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has made 62.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 10.8% higher than he's converted overall this season at home.
Relative to last season's 1.2 mark, Derrick Jones Jr.'s 3-point attempts have increased this season to 3.1 per game.
The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a strong one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (47.0%).
The 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks.
The Warriors have played at the 8th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home city, which should boost plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Favors Under

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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