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Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/31/2024

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -124.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Compared to last season's 4.8 rate, Derrick Jones Jr.'s points per game have spiked this season to 8.8.
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.2 three-point shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.2 mark last season.
  • Compared to last year's 13.7 clip, Derrick Jones Jr.'s playing time has surged this year to 23.3 minutes per game.
  • In terms of shooting, the Mavericks's superb 122.0 points per game on the road rates strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 26.1% on 3-pointers (2nd-weakest in the league) vs. the Rockets, designating this as a difficult matchup.
  • The Mavericks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Derrick Jones Jr. will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to reduce stat production across the board.

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