Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 1:17 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has compiled a terrific 8.8 points per game this season, a big improvement over his 4.8 points per game last season.
Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.2 three-pointers per game this year, quite a bit more than his 1.2 rate last year.
Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied a whopping 23.3 minutes per game this year, significantly more than his 13.7 minutes per game last year.
In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's impressive 122.4 points per game away from their home court measures as the highest in the league over the last 10 games.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 6.1 three attempts per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, labeling this as a positive matchup.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA while playing on the road with only 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
Derrick Jones Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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