Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/26/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 26, 2024

Updated Mar 27, 2024 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 4.8 mark, Derrick Jones Jr.'s points per game have risen this year to 8.8.
Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.1 three-pointers per game this season, significantly higher than his 1.2 mark last season.
In comparison to last season's 13.7 clip, Derrick Jones Jr.'s playing time has spiked this season to 23.4 minutes per game.
The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 6.1 3-point attempts per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Kings, creating a strong matchup.

Favors Under

The Mavericks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player production for all stats.

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