Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz · Mar 21, 2024

Updated Mar 22, 2024 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has posted a whopping 8.8 points per game this season, significantly more than his 4.8 points per game last season.
Compared to last year's 1.2 mark, Derrick Jones Jr.'s shot attempts from downtown have risen this year to 3.2 per game.
The matchup vs. the Jazz is a positive one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (2.4).
The Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from facing the 8th-fastest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Utah Jazz).

Favors Under

The Mavericks rank as the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Jazz, making it tough to draw fouls.

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