Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 19, 2024

Updated Mar 20, 2024 12:09 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has compiled a terrific 8.9 points per game this year, significantly more than his 4.8 points per game last year.
In comparison to last season's 1.2 clip, Derrick Jones Jr.'s shot attempts from downtown have spiked this season to 3.3 per game.
Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged a whopping 23.6 minutes per game this season, significantly more than his 13.7 minutes per game last season.
As it relates to shooting, the Mavericks's impressive 122.3 points per game as the visting team places highest in the league over the last 10 games.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games as the away team.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Spurs is a hard one for scoring; opposing starting SFs have posted the lowest FG% in the league this year (36.0%).
The Mavericks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player production for all stats.

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