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Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/13/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors

 
 
 
Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has converted a terrific 3.3 field goals per game this year, significantly higher than his 1.7 rate last year.
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.3 threes per game this year, a significant increase from his 1.2 mark last year.
  • The Mavericks check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.
  • The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from squaring off against the fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Warriors).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup vs. Golden State is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Warriors are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-least shot attempts per game in the league this year (9.7).
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 5thworst in in the league with just 8.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
  • This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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