Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 9, 2024

Updated Mar 10, 2024 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+112/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 4.8 rate, Derrick Jones Jr.'s points per game have increased this year to 8.9.
Relative to last year's 1.2 mark, Derrick Jones Jr.'s shot attempts from beyond the arc have surged this year to 3.3 per game.
Derrick Jones Jr. has played a terrific 23.7 minutes per game this season, significantly higher than his 13.7 minutes per game last season.
Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 0.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 less than he's tallied overall this year.
With respect to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's excellent 119.6 points per game while playing on the road rates 2nd-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 2ndworst in in the league as the away team with only 8.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Derrick Jones Jr. figures to suffer a reduction in performance in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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