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Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/10/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Derrick Jones Jr. has made 57.8% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 9.5% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

With respect to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's impressive 119.9 points per game while on their home court measures as the 6th-highest in the league over the last 25 games.

The matchup against Oklahoma is a good one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.9 foul shots per game this year when the Oklahoma City Thunder are on the road (24th-most in the NBA).

Derrick Jones Jr. figures to see a rise in efficiency across the board due to enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Derrick Jones Jr. has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.2 higher than he's committed over the course of the year at home.

Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 11.0 points per game (13th-lowest in the league) against the Thunder, resulting in a tough matchup for offensive performance.

The 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.

The Thunder have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 7.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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