Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

New York Knicks vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 8, 2024

Updated Feb 9, 2024 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-103/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 4.8 clip, Derrick Jones Jr.'s points per game have risen this season to 9.8.
In contrast to last season's 1.2 rate, Derrick Jones Jr.'s 3-point attempts have surged this season to 3.8 per game.
Relative to last year's 13.7 clip, Derrick Jones Jr.'s playing time has spiked this year to 25.6 minutes per game.
The Mavericks have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games while on the road.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.
This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PFs have shot 18.6% on threes (15th-worst in the NBA) against the New York Knicks, making this a challenging matchup.
The Knicks have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should reduce possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against New York is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game this year when the Knicks are at home (11th-least in the league).

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