Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 6, 2024

Updated Feb 7, 2024 4:06 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-121/-113).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has posted a terrific 10.0 points per game this year, significantly more than his 4.8 points per game last year.
Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.8 three-point shots per game this season, significantly more than his 1.2 rate last season.
With respect to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's stellar 118.2 points per game rates 10th-most in the NBA this year.
The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league on the road this year.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise opportunities for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's tallied overall this year.
The matchup vs. the Brooklyn Nets is a hard one; they have allowed the 13th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs this year (14.6).
The Mavericks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has captured 12.6 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Brooklyn Nets (maintaining possessions that can produce further opportunities for offense).
Derrick Jones Jr. stands to see a decline in efficiency across the board as a result of being on the road in this game.

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