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Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/5/2024

Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last season's 4.8 clip, Derrick Jones Jr.'s points per game have spiked this season to 10.1.

Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.8 shots from downtown per game this year, significantly higher than his 1.2 rate last year.

As it relates to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's terrific 119.6 points per game rates 7th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PFs have shot 45.6% on 3-pointers (29th-highest in the league) against the 76ers, identifying this as a good matchup.

The Mavericks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA as the road team this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Mavericks.

Offensive rebounds save possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 3rdworst in in the league with a mere 7.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Over the last 15 games when they are away from home, the other team has nabbed 13.3 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) against the 76ers (retaining possessions that can generate additional opportunities for offense).

Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.8 free throws per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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