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Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/24/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-104/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -129.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 58.9% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 11.3% higher than he's made overall this year.

The Mavericks have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games as the home team.

The matchup against Phoenix is a good one for three-pointers; when the Phoenix Suns are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have posted the 23rd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (41.1%).

Derrick Jones Jr. figures to see a rise in output for all stats considering owning the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home.

The Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the 5th-least up-tempo pace visiting team in the league over the last 15 games (the Suns).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the league with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

When playing away from home, the Phoenix Suns have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Suns may be a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted just 1.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games (12th-least in the NBA).

More Derrick Jones Jr. Player Props

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