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Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/5/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers

 
 
 
Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-127/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -127.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Mavericks have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has made 2.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's converted overall this year.
  • Derrick Jones Jr. should see a spike in output across the board due to possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a challenging one for three-pointers; opposing starting PFs have posted the 12th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (29.6%).
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 8thworst in in the league with only 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
  • Over the last 15 games when they are playing at home, opposing teams have captured 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers (saving possessions that can generate added opportunities for offense).
  • The matchup against Portland may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Trail Blazers are away from home (14th-least in the NBA).

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