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Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/30/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a strong one for threes; the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled the 30th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (47.0%).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Derrick Jones Jr. has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's committed in all games this season.

The Mavericks rank as the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road.

The Warriors have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Mavericks.

While playing at home, the Warriors have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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