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Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/27/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers

 
 
 
Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 48.6% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 8.6% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year while playing at home.
  • The Mavericks have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have snagged 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Cleveland Cavaliers (lessening possessions that could otherwise generate extra opportunities for offense).
  • Among all players in the league, Derrick Jones Jr. comes in at the 86th percentile for foul-shot performance with the home court advantage with a an impressive 93.3% rate this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The matchup against Cleveland is a challenging one; when the Cleveland Cavaliers are away from home, they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs this year (13.5).
  • The Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).

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