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Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/23/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 10.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season while on his home court.

The Mavericks will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Spurs).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 10thbest in in the league with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Away from their home court, the Spurs have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (8.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's lackluster 43.7% field goal percentage places 2nd-lowest in the league over the last 5 games.

Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting PFs have scored 15.8 points per game (11th-lowest in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, identifying this as a tough matchup for offensive effectiveness.

The 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 9 games has been the Mavericks.

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