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Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/18/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

When it comes to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 119.3 points per game on the road places 5th-best in the NBA this year.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league while playing on the road this year.

Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 2.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's attempted overall this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Derrick Jones Jr. has missed 3.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's failed to convert from 3-point range overall this year.

This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 3.9 3-point attempts per game (12th-lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, creating a tough matchup.

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic pace home team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 6thworst in in the league with just 9.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

The Denver Nuggets have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (12.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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