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Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/11/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Relative to last year's 0.4 clip, Derrick Jones Jr.'s three-point shots drained have increased this year to 1.7 per game.
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 8.1 more than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.
  • The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
  • Since the start of last season when they are on the road, opposing starting SFs have averaged 5.9 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, resulting in a positive matchup.
  • The 4th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.9 more than he's committed in all games this year at home.
  • The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from being pitted against the most lethargic pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • In contrast to last season's 75.9% rate, Derrick Jones Jr.'s foul-shot ability has tailed off this season to 61.9%.
  • Derrick Jones Jr. ought to see a decline in performance in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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