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Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/28/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk an impressive 1.4 threes per game this season, quite a bit more than his 0.4 mark last season.

Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied an impressive 21.1 minutes per game this year, a significant increase from his 13.2 minutes per game last year.

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league as the away team this year.

The 6th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Houston Rockets have given up the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Derrick Jones Jr. has converted a mere 40.9% of his field goal attempts this year, significantly less than his 50.9 rate last year.

This matchup is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Houston Rockets are on their home court, their opposition has averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league against them since the start of last season (38.4).

The Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Rockets).

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

This matchup is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; when the Rockets are playing at home, opposing clubs have attempted a monstrous 29.2 free throws per game this year (most in the NBA).

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