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Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/22/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+110/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -134.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has made a terrific 1.4 treys per game this season, significantly higher than his 0.4 rate last season.
  • Compared to last year's 13.2 rate, Derrick Jones Jr.'s playing time has increased this year to 21.5 minutes per game.
  • With respect to shooting, the Mavericks's exceptional 122.8 points per game when playing away from home comes in as the 2nd-best in the NBA this year.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.
  • The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the speediest tempo road offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made a lowly 41.8% of his shot attempts from the field this season, a significant dropoff from his 50.9 rate last season.
  • The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a hard one; when the Lakers are away from home, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs since the start of last season (11.7).
  • The Mavericks check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Lakers have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Since the start of last season, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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