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Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/15/2023

Washington Wizards vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Compared to last season's 4.8 clip, Derrick Jones Jr.'s points per game have increased this season to 8.7.
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 4.0 3-pointers per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 1.2 rate last year.
  • In contrast to last season's 1.3 mark, Derrick Jones Jr.'s personal fouls per game have tailed off this season to 0.7.
  • The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • The matchup vs. Washington is a good one for three-point shots; when the Washington Wizards are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most 3-point shots per game in the NBA since the start of last season (2.1).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Mavericks have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • When playing away from home, the Wizards have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Derrick Jones Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player performance for all stats.

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