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Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/6/2023

Orlando Magic vs Dallas Mavericks

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 1.3 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season, putting him in the 21st percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled.

As it relates to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's excellent 120.4 points per game measures as the 4th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA this year.

Since the start of last season, opposing teams have captured 9.0 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic (minimizing possessions that could otherwise lead to further chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.7 shots per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 20th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Out of all players in the league, Derrick Jones Jr. measures in the 21st percentile for three-point prowess while playing on the road with a a poor 26.2% rate since the start of last season.

Among all players in the league, Derrick Jones Jr. measures in the 24th percentile for playing time, putting up a lowly 13.3 minutes per game while at home since the start of last season.

The matchup vs. Orlando is a difficult one for field goals; when the Magic are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the 15th-lowest field goal rate in the league since the start of last season (42.7%).

The Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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