Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 2, 2023 12:40 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the league as the home team since the start of last season when it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
Away from their home court, the Chicago Bulls have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the league to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team has attempted just 22.3 foul shots per game when the Bulls are the visiting squad since the start of last season (7th-least in the NBA).
Derrick Jones Jr. will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally improves player production across the board.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 36.7% of his field goals when playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 22nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (82nd percentile).
The matchup vs. the Bulls is a hard one for field goals; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 14th-least shots made from the field per game in the NBA since the start of last season (4.8).
The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league since the start of last season.
The Mavericks are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from competing against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo road team in the NBA this year (the Bulls).