Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2023

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Chicago Bulls · Feb 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has converted 69.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 10.5% more than he's sunk over the course of the season without the home court advantage.
The Chicago Bulls check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
This matchup is a positive one for scoring; opposing clubs have posted the highest FG% in the league this year (45.2%).
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Bulls.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has made a mere 24.1% of his 3-pointers this season, significantly less than his 33.5 mark last season.
Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 0.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
On their home court, the Grizzlies have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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