Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2023

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 23, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made 61.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 10.6% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home.
The Bulls have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise possessions for the Hawks.
The matchup against the Hawks is a favorable one for threes; opposing squads have averaged the 4th-most threes per game in the NBA this year (11.4).

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has made a lowly 24.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc this season, significantly less than his 33.5 mark last season.
Derrick Jones Jr. has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated in all games this year.
The Hawks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (13.7) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games without the home court advantage (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Hawks is a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted just 27.0 foul shots per game while playing away from home this year (3rd-least in the league).
The Chicago Bulls have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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