Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2023

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Washington Wizards vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 11, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has made 66.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 13.5% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year away from his home court.
The Chicago Bulls check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year away from home.
On their home court, the Wizards have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to the other team this year (which can also create added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Wizards may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted a whopping 22.7 free throws per game this year (7th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has made a measly 23.9% of his three-point shots this year, significantly lower than his 33.5 rate last year.
Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Chicago Bulls have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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