Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2023

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Boston Celtics vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 9, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 71.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 17.9% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year [ON_THE_ROAD].
Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made 43.3% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 16.9% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season while playing away from home.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the league away from their home court this year.
The matchup against the Celtics is a positive one for getting to the free throw line; opposing teams have attempted an enormous 21.6 foul shots per game on his home court this year (3rd-most in the league).
The matchup against the Celtics is a positive one for three-pointers; the other team have averaged the 8th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA since the start of last season while playing at home (11.8).

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a hard one for field goals; opposing clubs have totaled the 8th-least buckets per game in the league this year (42.5).
The Chicago Bulls check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player performance across the board.

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