Derrick Jones Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/3/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers · May 3, 2024

Updated May 4, 2024 1:17 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+164/-198).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -225 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +164.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made 48.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games at home, 14.1% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season at home.
Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of three-point attempts.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 15 games when the Clippers are away from home (5.8).
Derrick Jones Jr. will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's committed overall this season.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the 3rd-most lethargic pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the LA Clippers).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the league with just 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.

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