Derrick Jones Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/10/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 10, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 10:41 PM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 5.5 3-point attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, branding this as a good matchup.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).
The Mavericks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally reduces player production in all stat categories.

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