Derrick Jones Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 26, 2024 11:57 PM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+114/-152).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +170 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has converted 42.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 11.2% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season.
Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 4.0 threes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 1.2 rate last year.
In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 2nd-most aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 60.1% on 3-pointers (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, creating a favorable matchup.
The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Hawks have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. is expected to see a decline in efficiency across the board considering being on the road in this game.

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