Derrick Jones Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2023

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 25, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 4:02 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+155/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -195 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -200.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.8 three-pointers per game this season, significantly more than his 1.2 mark last season.
Derrick Jones Jr. has played a terrific 21.3 minutes per game this year, a big improvement over his 13.2 minutes per game last year.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the most aggressive offense in the league as the road team this year in regard to three-point attempts.
The 4th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to technicals.
Since the start of last season, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 1.2 3-pointers per game (14th-fewest in the league) against the Clippers, identifying this as a tough matchup.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have collected 11.8 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the LA Clippers (lengthening possessions that can lead to further chances for offense).
Derrick Jones Jr. will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually lowers stat production in all facets of the game.